Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 16.941347 19.740421 22.784856 26.332744 30.343946 34.728377 39.873114
2025-02-23 12.018465 15.800739 20.338628 26.137453 33.299153 41.799592 52.592166
2025-03-02 9.135192 13.251371 18.593710 25.928952 35.616319 47.837446 64.264578
2025-03-09 7.216424 11.401382 17.210946 25.681988 37.501013 53.160002 75.177959
2025-03-16 5.460216 9.369011 15.154654 24.078500 37.172829 55.305670 81.844499
2025-03-23 4.740855 8.712400 14.908782 24.909485 40.182984 62.078320 95.132595
2025-03-30 4.227668 8.272537 14.891296 26.014387 43.610584 69.606208 109.911775
2025-04-06 3.494081 7.315162 13.893276 25.427417 44.351865 73.185719 119.120333
2025-04-13 2.794707 6.277410 12.594389 24.157617 43.834989 74.745110 125.313336
2025-04-20 2.583728 6.123172 12.800912 25.422282 47.484877 82.921241 142.018834
2025-04-27 2.441909 6.079229 13.192108 27.029363 51.804062 92.388144 161.224903
2025-05-04 2.184566 5.744239 12.985353 27.521488 54.229202 98.912467 176.078603
2025-05-11 1.882137 5.276167 12.503160 27.542045 55.995167 104.740768 190.631553
2025-05-18 1.588947 4.770515 11.881034 27.244262 57.205242 109.796724 204.379209
2025-05-25 1.347874 4.333035 11.330174 27.010767 58.494303 115.052809 218.757705
2025-06-01 1.143826 3.938098 10.804474 26.751782 59.686354 120.181308 233.170593
2025-06-08 0.890761 3.334377 9.690035 25.090388 57.964735 119.929763 238.157896
2025-06-15 0.812657 3.220912 9.729214 25.951033 61.342165 129.188150 260.443020
2025-06-22 0.756030 3.159670 9.888180 27.095268 65.382240 139.901508 285.862070
2025-06-29 0.631421 2.839075 9.322580 26.487419 65.698640 143.569707 298.610430
2025-07-06 0.501726 2.454123 8.508743 25.172217 64.364820 143.942617 305.239899
2025-07-13 0.476542 2.447037 8.750378 26.482100 68.873014 156.010743 334.386018
2025-07-20 0.462822 2.481446 9.117637 28.146176 74.286887 170.148441 368.062548